Labour voters switching to National

Vernon Small must have had a few sleepless nights. No wonder too that Labour MPs have been very quiet. The lates Fairfax poll results are the very last nails in Labour’s coffin.

Vernon Small has crunched the numbers, and it doesn’t look good for Labour:

A close examination of the numbers shows that among voters who have cited a party preference, 92 per cent of those who ticked National last time are still backing a John Key-led party.

By contrast, Labour has managed to hang on to only 79 per cent of its supporters, with 11 per cent switching to National ? against just 5 per cent of National voters who have crossed to Phil Goff’s camp.

Labour has also shed 5 per cent of its voters from 2008 to the Greens, but less than one per cent of National’s 2008 vote base has turned Green.

In fact, no other party has managed to lure away more than 1 per cent of National’s voters in 2008.