Can the Conservative Party Make It?

Colin Craig?s new vehicle, the Conservative Party, launched yesterday.

I observed Colin on the campaign trail in the local body election, where he ran a distant third based on a three month campaign against two high profile mayors. Insiders say the campaign was a three month effort, and did not have experienced campaign professionals on board.

Colin comes with a high profile among those pissed off with the current government, politicians and the political system. This includes smackers, binding referendum supporters and opponents of the Marine and Coastal Areas Act. This pissed off constituency is well funded, if Colin decides not to fund his campaign out of his own pocket.

The advantage Colin has is not so much his platform but his personality. Those who don?t know Colin will not know what a friendly, engaging and decent guy he is. He has a pleasant word for everyone and comes across well. The difficulty for Colin is transferring this into getting the 12,000 ? 15,000 votes needed to win an electorate seat without major party backing, or the 115,000 to 120,000 votes required to get to the 5% threshold.

If there are minor party debates look for the other minor parties to attempt to keep Colin from being involved. Against the other minor party leaders Colin could dominate as a sensible, reasonable, likable guy who brings fresh perspectives to politics. This will cost other parties votes, and they will try to stop him from participating.

In the next few days this blog will look at what he needs to do to win, his party infrastructure, his policies, whether money can buy seats, his constituency and what would happen if he makes it into parliament.