The numbers don't lie – roll Goff

Fairfax, helpfully for prevaricating Labour caucus members, has published results of their poll that specifically canvassed the various permutations around rolling Phil Goff. The numbers give a clear indication as to what Labour should be doing with their “dead horse”.

Doing nothing is no longer an option.

Labour’s slide would not be reversed if the party dumped Phil Goff as leader, a new poll shows.

Nearly two-thirds of respondents said they would not change their vote if Mr Goff was replaced.

But as speculation about his leadership rumbles on, the result is hardly good news, with 20 per cent saying they would be more likely to vote Labour if he was gone.

A leadership change has more appeal to younger voters. Among those aged under 35, almost 30 per cent are most likely to switch to Labour under a new leader.

The grim numbers in the latest Fairfax Media-Research International poll suggest Labour would lose about nine seats, and young list MPs Stuart Nash, Carmel Sepuloni and Kelvin Davis would not be returned to Parliament.

It won’t damage them to roll Goff and may soften what looks likely to be a hard landing.