Who will be the next National Prime Minister?

This topic is one that will likely come up at the conference over the weekend, when the dying membership have their last hurrah in 1930?s costumes.

John Key is so popular he looks certain to leave on his own terms. When he does there will be a large void in National, perhaps not quite as large as the void Helen Clark left Labour in, but it will be large none the less.

It is possible that the next National Prime Minister is not yet in Parliament, just as it is with Labour. John Key was first elected in 2002, and his predecessor as leader, Don Brash, was also elected when National was in opposition. This will be something of a slap in the face to the aspiring leaders in caucus who all see their ascension to the leadership and the love of the voters as inevitable.

Tomorrows pre-conference post will deal with the aspiring replacements for John Key. Today readers should consider how there will be another National PM under MMP if ACT and the Maori Party die, and there are no new parties entering parliament. The next National PM will have to either win 50% of the vote, ?a near impossible feat, or come to a coalition agreement with the Greens or Labour, neither of which seems likely.

In all the festivities of the 1930?s celebration that is this years National Conference this should the most important topic. Will there be another National PM if MMP is retained? Which aspirational National leader of the future is going to take the bull by the horns and realise National are destined to be the permanent party of opposition if MMP is retained?