OakFX – Have you been caught?

david

Is David McEwen culpable?

A reader emails:

Let?s say, hypothetically, that I wanted to write a scam forex trading tool.??Something that offered 50-65% returns per annum.

Well trades are easy to make, like bets on black or red at roulette.??I?d let the software pick at random.??Hell, what do I know about future movements in the market anyhow???Some days you win, some days you lose, right?

Then I’d set the tool up so that it started out by releasing its positive trades as early as it can but make it hang on to negative trades for longer.??That way the impression of a more positive return would be given.??It could even make a bad day into a positive day with such an approach.

If it got some really bad trades I’d program it to keep them open indefinitely in fact – or as long as the margin call permitted.

Then the software would show good returns and for quite some time while the capital held out it would be positive more often than not

When selling it to folks, I could offer a 3 month guarantee of returns when using it from the outset with a full bank balance.??While the closed positive trades show up as a return and the capital outbalances the uncommitted negative trades I?d feel comfortable giving a guarantee that it would be positive for at least 3 months.

I could even offer a Gold version that would outperform the Silver variant too, but at a higher licence fee.??It would do exactly the same thing of course but it would look better simply because it was permitted to work with more capital.??It would see positive returns for longer too ? while the negative trades built up anyway.

Eventually the earnings, which are really just the plowed under capital – a la Ponzi, would start to dry up as the capital gets locked up by loss making trades that are “stuck” in the system. ?

Towards the end it would inevitably start to get unstable from the chaos effect of those earlier trades escalating in their long term impact and losses would appear more often.??Returns would become more volatile.

Then one day the losses look to exceed the remaining capital and the forex trading house rejects the final trade and automatically shuts down the account and crystallises the position to ensure it stays out of the red.

It would appear to work for a year or so and then self-destruct.??But it would ALWAYS self-destruct.??It’s built in from the beginning with a half-life of around 18 months.

I?d feel pretty full of myself for coming up with the idea though.??It?s better than Ponzi.??Each individual investor is the one that is fuelling his returns by burning their capital.??You don?t need to have new investors coming in to keep paying the old ones their return.??New investors get to start from scratch in fact, as the old ones are silently falling away one by one.

And what market would I pick for such a tool, I wonder???How about unsuspecting pensioners with little understanding of forex trading, P&Ls or even how to read tabular reports.

Relatives of mine went for the OakFX systems and lost their capital.??I have reviewed their daily trade confirmations and the pattern of behaviour with their investment follows my model above perfectly.

Let me take the first day of trading as an example, the system reported a profit of NZ$26.??It did this whilst hanging on to open trades of -$6 and margin requirements of $77.??Let?s see that again, net loss for the day was in fact -$57 but the tool reported a gain of $6.

By the end of the first week after reporting a profit EVERY DAY, it was in reality down nearly $300.

After 2 years of this the entire capital was wiped out in a single day?s losses of $-33,657 leaving $10 in the account.??In reality, this was just all of the old negative trades coming home to roust at once.

Mark Raymond Brewer is the mastermind beyond OakFX.??He?s now left the country to start up a similar product overseas.??Mark calls his new venture?paymarkautotrader.com.

Really!??Can?t he do better than ?Pay?Mark?Auto Trader????Surely that?s just too cheeky.

Mark will get his just desserts.??The man who has financed his exit from the country to start this up again is still in NZ though and should be brought to account for his actions.??David McEwen, the respected investment counsellor, has put up the money for Mark to exit his bankruptcy commitments and leave NZ to start this all up again somewhere new.

David McEwen is the one who claims to have overseen this software running successfully for his clients.??Really!??For David McEwen not to recognise the behaviour of this software and see that false profits are being reported he would have to be monumentally incompetent.

So now we come to the real question.??Is David McEwen culpable of gross incompetence or is he covering for his profiteering from a scam and, furthermore, providing support to extend that same scam to other countries now that it has been rightly shut down in NZ?

You must come to your own decision about David McEwen based on the facts.

Either way, how does it make you feel about following his advice in the future?

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