Dimpost on the left’s slaughter

Danyl McLauchlan writes about the slaying of the?left.

  • The National Party is an incredibly well resourced, well managed, professional political party and it turns out that these things counted for a?lot?last night.
  • The phone was not off the hook for Labour. Twelve months ago, just after Cunliffe won the leadership of his party Labour?were on 37% with the Greens on 12%. There?s a cliche that oppositions don?t win elections, government?s lose them, but Labour lost this election. Cunliffe is probably the worst campaigner in New Zealand political history.
  • Based on the preliminary figures I think turnout will end up being slightly higher than last time but still very low. I was a strong advocate for a strategy of?having left-wing parties try and improve their vote by targeting and mobilising younger voters, but it turns that that strategy is?electoral suicide!?Sorry guys!
  • So the lesson from last night?s right-wing landslide seems to be that older New Zealanders are very engaged with the political process and younger New Zealanders are not. That?s a shame but it?s a message politicians cannot ignore. No one?s going to waste time and energy chasing ?the youth vote? again for a very long time.

Youth don’t vote, ever. A few Nat MPs I know don’t bother chasing this vote, the effort required for the payoff means you are better off working elsewhere.

  • I think that the best way forward for Labour is for Cunliffe and ?the old guard? ? Goff, Mallard and King ? to resign. They?ve been at war for six years now and they?re tearing their party apart. I doubt this will happen though. The civil war will drag on for another parliamentary term. That party is dying.

Labour’s rump is full of old Clarkist’s and time servers…there needs to be more than that go.

  • If New Zealand First goes into coalition with National then that?s a win for Labour who can concentrate on winning back those left-leaning socially conservative older voters. (Er, Grant Robertson might not be the best choice for this job). If they don?t then that is an (additional) nightmare scenario for Labour.
  • I?m ambivalent about the failure of the Conservative Party. Yes, Craig was basically just buying his way into Parliament, but that?s what ACT does, and a huge component of National?s success is that it is a fundraising vehicle first and a governing political party second. Almost 90,000 people wanted Colin Craig?s Conservative?s in Parliament, and their votes should have been respected. Still, it turns out that Key and Collins were right about keeping the threshold at 5%. The redistributed seats caused by the Conservative?s wasted vote gave National the numbers to govern alone.

Winston Peters is now irrelevant, a sad end to his career, National will be able to govern alone but won’t. They won’t govern with Winston Peters though.

Meanwhile Colin Craig proves he is the slowest learner in New Zealand politics. He constantly fails the no dick-head rule, and constantly spends millions coming third or worse.

  • The Internet Party will go down as one of the most disastrous failures in modern political history. Their final party list result is only slightly higher than Mana?s was in 2011. $4.5 million dollars and it only bought them a couple of thousand votes. They didn?t even cannibalise support from other left-wing parties.
  • What they?did?do is scare the crap out of middle-New Zealand and frighten them into voting National so that the party filled with screaming, chanting, scary lunatics backed by a malevolent?German criminal didn?t get?a say in running the country
  • I?m sad to see Harawira leave Parliament. I think he?s an important voice. But I?m thrilled that I won?t ever again have to listen to Laila Harre on Morning Report braying about how much integrity she has and how wonderful everything she does is.

A lot of dick-heads got rinsed in this election.

Kim Dotcom, Martyn Martin Bradbury, Laila Harre, David Cunliffe, Hone Harawira, Lyn Prentice, Russell Brown, Giovanni Tiso, David Fisher, Matt Nippert, Patrick Gower, plus many more…they should all reflect on this song.