Update on Pesky Pam

Tropical Cyclone Pam, currently located over waters south of Vanuatu, is forecast to track southeastwards over the weekend and pass east of New Zealand during Monday and Tuesday. Strong southeast winds and rain expected over much of the North Island late Sunday and Monday, along with extremely large seas about the east coast.

Around 200mm of rain is expected to accumulate about Gisborne, and the ranges of northern Hawkes Bay and eastern Bay of Plenty, with lesser but still significant amounts near the coast of northern Hawkes Bay and the hills and ranges further south. Rivers and streams in these areas will rise rapidly and localised surface flooding and slips are likely as well as hazardous driving conditions.

In addition, severe southeast gales are likely about Eastern Northland, Great Barrier Island and the Coromandel Peninsula overnight Sunday, then about Gisborne and Bay of Plenty for a time Monday, with gusts of 120 km/h in places, but 160 km/h or possibly more about the eastern Bay of Plenty. Winds of this strength are likely to cause damage to trees and powerlines and could lift roofs and make for hazardous driving conditions.

This is a developing situation and people are advised to stay up to date with the latest forecasts as further areas may be added to this Warning.

Although we won’t suffer any serious problems, there will be slips, down trees and surface flooding in all the usual places. ?Locals will know what to expect.

It still will make sense to check out all the loose stuff in the garden and secure it; tie the trampoline down…?well, and perhaps wheel the BBQ into the garage.

At the same time, it looks like the South Island and Taranaki/Manawatu will dodge most if not all of it.



– Metservice, Auckland Civil Defence