A push for early votes is a red flag

With 11 days to go before the US presidential election, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 15 percentage points among early voters surveyed in the past two weeks, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project.

Though data is not available for all early voting states, Ms Clinton enjoys an edge in swing states such as Ohio and Arizona and in Republican Party strongholds such as Georgia and Texas.

An estimated 19 million Americans have voted so far in the election, according to the University of Florida’s United States Election Project, accounting for as much as 20 per cent of the electorate.

Overall, Clinton remained on track to win a majority of votes in the Electoral College, the Reuters/Ipsos survey showed on Saturday.

Having so many ballots locked down before the November 8 election is good news for the Clinton campaign.

On Friday, the Federal Bureau of Investigation announced that it is examining newly discovered emails belonging to Ms Clinton’s close aide, Huma Abedin. Those emails were found on a computer belonging to Anthony Weiner, Ms Abedin’s estranged husband, during an unrelated investigation into illicit messages he is alleged to have sent to a teenage girl.

The Reuters/Ipsos survey was conducted before the news emerged on Friday afternoon.

It remains unclear whether the FBI inquiry will upset the balance in the race. The bureau disclosed nothing about the Abedin emails, including whether any of the messages were sent by or to Clinton.

We saw the same from Labour and the Internet/Mana parties last election. ?As they sensed the public mood turning, and they were losing control of the media narrative, they wanted to lock in as many votes as possible. ?In the end, it wasn’t enough.

With the FBI opening up the email investigation, and Trump re-gaining momentum after the coordinated misogyny hit by the DNC and the media took his numbers down, Clinton’s campaign are scrambling to get people to the polls.

 

– Reuters

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