Ladybird books guide to experts: Part three

Continuing the guide from yesterday


Experts in ?The Science?

Sometimes even top experts find things too complicated. When this happens it is important that uncertainty does not cloud decisive political action.

For example, the scientists do not know what determines the constantly changing global climate.

However, governments want to show that they are ?tackling climate change? and they need experts to demonstrate ?certainty?. The Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has ensured that a lack of scientific knowledge is no barrier to providing a ?consensus? on ?certainty?.

The IPCC has employed consultants, environmental campaigners and carefully selected researchers to write policy documents.

The IPCC has given this approach a special name. It is ?The Science?.


Experts and the future

When things actually happen, they are called ?facts?. When experts think that something may happen in the future, they are called ?predictions?.

So, what should we do when the ?facts? are different from the ?predictions? made by an expert?

We need to understand that a ?higher truth? is even more real than facts.

For example, an expert in the top University at Cambridge, Professor Peter Wadhams has predicted that the Arctic sea ice may ?completely disappear? in the summer of 2016. In fact, the Arctic sea was 4.1 million kilometers square and has started re-freezing at the fastest rate since records began.

It would be wrong to conclude that the ?facts? prove Professor Wadham?s ?prediction? to be wrong, because this is trumped by a ?higher truth?.

The expert must be believed because the ?higher truth? is that Global Warming is caused by people and this is melting all the Arctic ice and this is killing Polar Bears and the Polar Bears will then come to England and eat us.



Magic words

Experts know that some people don?t like numbers and long phrases.

So, to help people understand, experts now use magic words.

One of these words is ?sustainable?.

When experts use the word ?sustainable?, it means that the project they are proposing is the right thing to do.

In the olden days, experts presented the costs and the benefits for any new project. Nowadays, by using the word ?sustainable?, there is no need for this.

By using the word ?sustainable?, it helps us know that the experts have made the decision for us. We don?t need to worry about the cost and it doesn?t matter if there is actually any benefit.

To read the article in full go to?

? Andy Shaw, 2nd October 2016