If at first you don’t succeed, plan next year’s talkfest

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James Shaw told RadioNZ in an interview in December that he was feeling positive about the progress being made in the negotiations at COP24 in Katowice, Poland. I am confident that Shaw would have enthusiastically joined in when, at the close of the conference, the 30,000 attendees gave themselves a standing ovation for developing an unenforceable rulebook for tracking and counting carbon dioxide emissions.?

A recent article from The Heartland Institute looks at the continuing failure of these annual talkfests to achieve anything other than to enrich the travel industry. Quote.

In 1992, 165 countries signed the UNFCC, agreeing to ?stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere.? To do so, 43 industrialized countries agreed to implement voluntary measures to stabilize their greenhouse gas emissions at 1990 levels by the year 2000. They missed that target badly.

Despite the 1992 agreement, carbon dioxide emissions increased. Therefore, in 1997, parties to the UNFCC negotiated a new treaty: the Kyoto Protocol. Under this treaty, the same developed countries agreed to legally-binding greenhouse gas emission reductions averaging 5 percent below 1990 levels by 2012.

History repeated itself, with the parties to the Kyoto Protocol missing their greenhouse gas emission reduction targets by a wide margin?with no penalties forthcoming.

This brings us to Paris in 2015, when 196 countries agreed to cut or stabilize greenhouse gas emissions at levels necessary to prevent the Earth from warming as far as possible below two degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels. The U.N. recently estimated this would mean cutting global greenhouse gas emissions by 80 percent by 2030 and producing net zero emissions by 2050.

No country is on target to meet those commitments. In fact, carbon dioxide emissions are increasing, not dropping.

In short, the Paris agreement, for all the lofty words spoken in support of it in Poland, is all but kaput. End quote.

The Heartland Institute

So why is the Paris agreement doomed to fail? The Heartland article continues: Quote.

  1. Worldwide global carbon dioxide emissions increased by 2.7 percent in 2018 compared with 2017. […] Even if they stabilize their emissions at present levels by 2030, it would still mean higher greenhouse gas levels than the U.N. says is necessary to stabilize temperatures.
  2. […] The Chinese government bank […] is financing hundreds of new coal fueled electric power plants across Africa, Asia, and the Middle East.
  3. At COP24, […] African countries defied green colonialists concerned with climate change, backing the African Development Bank?s decision to increase funding for coal, natural gas, and oil development to bring their nations out of poverty.
  4. Brazil?s new prime minister announced,[…] his country would not host the next round of U.N. climate negotiations in 2019. Furthermore, he has stated his intention to follow President Donald Trump?s lead and withdraw Brazil from the Paris climate agreement. […]
  5. France, Germany, and Japan […] have each increased coal use for electricity and have announced they will miss their mid-term carbon-dioxide emission reduction goals.
  6. Germany and several Eastern European countries nixed the […] proposal to dramatically increase EU?s 2030 carbon dioxide reduction goals for the transportation sector.
  7. In response to four weeks of violent public protests, France?s government suspended scheduled increases in fuel taxes, electricity prices, and stricter vehicle emissions controls, which […] Macron claimed were necessary to meet […] commitments under the Paris climate agreement.
  8. In 2018, [newly elected premier of Ontario, Doug Ford] announced he would end energy taxes imposed by Ontario?s previous premier and would join with the premiers of Alberta and Saskatchewan in a legal fight against Trudeau?s federal carbon dioxide tax.
  9. This year, Australian Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull was forced to resign in response to a challenge to his leadership over carbon dioxide restrictions he?d planned to meet the country?s Paris climate commitments. […] Australia?s deputy prime minister and environment minister announced the country would continue using coal for electricity and expand coal mining and exports.
  10. In the 2018 U.S. mid-term elections, liberal, green voters in Washington State rejected a tax on carbon dioxide emissions for the second time. Additionally, voters in Alaska and Colorado rejected initiatives that would have limited fossil fuel production in their states, and voters in Arizona resoundingly rejected an initiative to limit the use of fossil fuels to generate electricity. […] End quote.

But never fear: New Zealand will save the world by banning gas and oil exploration and being ‘carbon free’ by 2050.

Well done us!