No early election for Aus

Scott Morrison is in no mood to rush to the polls. (Photo by Stefan Postles/Getty Images)

It?s conventional political wisdom that new leaders benefit from a supposed ‘honeymoon effect’. On the other hand, seasoned leaders on the opposite side might judge that a wet-behind-the-ears parvenu will fold like a cheap suit in the heat of an election campaign.

Australia’s prime minister is no upstart, but neither is he banking on any honeymoon period from an electorate fed up with a decade of revolving-door leadership on both sides of the political aisle. Quote:

Scott Morrison has ruled out an early March election as the political year gets off to a headstart after the summer break. End of quote.

Morrison doesn?t need continued lacklustre polls to tell him that the Coalition has its work cut out repairing the damage inflicted by the Turnbull fiasco. When the Libs dumped Abbott, they broke faith with an electorate that had already had enough of that nonsense from Labor, and looked for stability from the Coalition, whose steady decade of Howard leadership was a high-water mark of prosperity. Turnbull made things even worse by dragging the traditionally centre-right party further and further left, alienating its voting base. Quote:

When asked on the Seven Network today if he had changed his mind about going full-term while on his Christmas holiday and would set a March poll date, the Prime Minister answered: ?No.?

?There are no changes there. The budget will be handed down in April,? he said.

Josh Frydenberg said last week he intended to deliver the April 2 budget he and Mr Morrison announced in December last year, but rumours persisted that an early poll would be called shortly after Australia Day.

Mr Morrison?s comments today confirm his intention to use a surplus budget, the first in over a decade, as a springboard for his federal election platform. End of quote.

If Morrison and Frydenberg deliver a surplus budget, it will be a huge win over Labor, who sank Australia into deficit in a single term, and never delivered the surpluses they kept promising.

Morrison is also aware that Shorten is in a far more precarious position than might be assumed from opinion polls. Quote:

But he said economic headwinds were stronger than last year, after global ratings giant Fitch Solutions cast doubt on the Treasurer?s ability to deliver a surplus last week.

?The economic storm clouds globally are a bit stronger than they were. In fact, a lot stronger this year than they were 12 months ago,? Mr Morrison said.

?There are other tensions out there whether it?s trade tensions between two of our biggest world players, plus what?s happening in Europe.

?There are plenty of concerns out there. We?re in a strong position but we will only stay there if we stay on the strong economic track we?re on.? End of quote.


Shorten is deeply personally unpopular. Voters know he?s a hollow man with the heart of a snake. The only reason Labor is riding high is because the Coalition has been so hopeless at taking the fight to the opposition. Labor?s fluffy mish-mash of far-left policies is a looming threat to Australia?s unprecedented run of economic prosperity. A chorus line of Cassandras from business and finance are lining up to sound their warnings.

Morrison is going to need as much time as he can get to shore up the Coalition?s defense, then mount a counter-attack to the Labor vandals threatening to tear down the walls of Australia?s prosperity.