Waiariki

Coffey Tantrum: Agrees Experts Give Him No Chance

Tamati Coffey, former weatherman and now Labour candidate for Waiariki, has a very thin skin. He is currently throwing a tantrum because every reporter, academic and pundit (who he calls ‘experts’), gives him no chance of winning the Waiariki seat.

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Heaps of people voted for him in 2013?

Tamati Coffey keeps saying the last General Election was 2013 and the paper doesn’t bat an eyelid.

“At the last election a lot of people said ‘you’re on the wrong roll’,” he said.

He said a large number?of people said they were unable to vote for him in 2013 as they were on the main rather than Maori roll.

“The feedback was ‘go for it'”,?he said.

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You Read It Here First: Tamati Declares for Waiariki

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Back in June,?we announced that Labour Rotorua spokesperson Tamati Coffey was seeking to switch electorates and stand in the Waiariki for the Maori seat against Maori Party co-leader and incumbent Te Ururoa Flavell. It seems the mainstream media have finally caught up and have officially broke the news: Coffey wants Waiariki seat.

Tamati Coffey has put his hand up to contest the Waiariki seat in next year’s general election.

Mr Coffey told the Rotorua Daily Post tonight he had put in his nomination to the Labour Party to be its candidate for the Waiariki Maori seat.

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Hooton on Labour’s skulduggery in Te Tai Tokerau

Matthew Hooton uses his NBR column to explain about David Cunliffe’s skullduggery in Te Tai Tokerau.

Less widely reported was Mr?Key?s reference to the Maori Party. Like National voters in Epsom and Ohariu, the prime minister told those in the Maori electorates to back his support parties? candidates.

This is a?bit cheeky: National doesn?t run candidates in the Maori electorates because, theoretically, its policy is to abolish them (although it?s extremely doubtful Mr Key personally agrees, given?his commitment to national reconciliation).

That?s why Mr Key?s nod to the Maori Party is so important. Under MMP, this election remains too close to call. For National to have a chance?of a third term, Mr Key may well need Maori Party co-leader Te Ururoa Flavell to retain Waiariki. Even more important is the result in Hone Harawira?s Te Tai Tokerau electorate, which spans Cape?Reinga to West Auckland.

Most commentators assume Mr Harawira is completely safe, especially now he has scored Kim Dotcom?s dosh. But that reveals they haven?t looked at the data very?carefully.

Three years ago, Mr Harawira only sneaked back into parliament, beating Labour?s Kelvin Davis by a mere 1165 votes, 6% of those cast. Labour won the party vote easily, by 10%. For?his part, Mr Harawira?s majority was well less than National?s party vote and also NZ First?s (see table below). Obviously, many National and NZ First voters backed the Maori?Party?s candidate, while Green voters backed Mr Harawira.

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This time, the Maori Party has Te Hira Paenga as its candidate. He would make an excellent MP. A father of five, he has?post-graduate qualifications and is assistant principal at Hato Petera College. Whatever: he should fall on his taiaha.? Read more »

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